Автор Тема: Хто всі люди, що голосували за Трампа.. та й за Гаррис..яка частка народу  (Прочитано 1004 раз)

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Offline Sebastian Brant

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Republican coalition

Faith and Flag Conservatives
are highly conservative and highly religious voters. They make up 10% of the public and 23% of the Republican coalition. Flag and Faith Conservatives generally support school prayer and military over diplomacy, while they generally oppose legalized abortion and same-sex marriage. They are also the group most likely to claim that the United States "stands above all other countries in the world," that illegal immigration is a "very big national problem," and support military over diplomacy. Faith and Flag Conservatives are more likely to reject the concept of white privilege and to agree that white Americans face more discrimination than African Americans and people of color. 99% of Faith and Flag Conservatives voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, and 86% claim that he won the election. Demographically, nearly half of Faith and Flag Conservatives are white evangelical Protestants, and they are the oldest of the typology groups with a median age of 57.[2]

Committed Conservatives are conservative voters that emphasize pro-business views, international trade, and small government. They make up 7% of the public and 15% of the Republican coalition. They hold more moderate views on immigration and race than other groups in the Republican coalition. 96% of Committed Conservatives voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, but they are less likely than other Republican groups to support false claims of electoral fraud. However, they are more likely to support Republicans in Congress. They are also more likely to support the use of COVID-19 vaccines than other Republican groups. Demographically, 82% of Committed Conservatives are white, a majority are ages 50 and older, and they make up the most educated Republican group.[3]

The Populist Right are highly conservative anti-immigrant voters that oppose the role of government and big businesses in American society. They make up 11% of the public and 23% of the Republican coalition. 97% of the Populist Right voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, and 85% claim that he won the election. The Populist Right are the most likely to believe that the number of legal immigrants should decrease and that the decreasing proportion of white Americans is bad for society, with 48% agreeing. They are also the Republican group most likely to support raising taxes on the rich. Demographically, 53% of the Populist Right are Protestants and they are one of the least educated groups.[4]

The Ambivalent Right are younger voters that lean conservative on economic and race issues but lean moderate on social issues. They make up 12% of the public and 18% of the Republican coalition. 70% of the Ambivalent Right voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, while 25% voted for Joe Biden, and a majority of the Ambivalent Right reject claims that Trump won the election. They are more likely than other Republican groups to support diplomacy over military strength, legalized marijuana, legalized abortion, and "openness to people from all over the world". Demographically, the Ambivalent Right are younger and more ethnically diverse than other Republican groups, and they are the least religious Republican group, with 27% identifying as religiously unaffiliated

Offline Sebastian Brant

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Democratic coalition

The Outsider Left
are younger liberal voters that are skeptical of the political system and both major political parties. They make up 10% of the public and 16% of the Democratic coalition. Nearly all of the Outsider Left believe that the American political system unfairly favors powerful interests, and about half say that the government is wasteful and inefficient. They are the group most likely to say that no political candidate represents their political views and the group least likely to say that there is a "great deal of difference" between the parties. 94% of the Outsider Left voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. In the Democratic primary, 38% supported Bernie Sanders, 18% supported Elizabeth Warren, and 12% supported Joe Biden. Demographically, the Outsider Left are the youngest group, with 83% being under the age of 50. The group is racially diverse, with only 49% being white Americans. They are also one of the least religious groups, with 51% identifying as religiously unaffiliated.[6]

Democratic Mainstays are older Democrats that are economically liberal and socially moderate. They make up 16% of the public and 28% of the Democratic coalition. Democratic Mainstays support higher taxes and expansion of the social safety net as well as stronger military policy. They are more likely than other Democratic groups to see violent crime as a "very big" national problem, to oppose increased immigration, and to say that people being too easily offended is a major problem. 92% of Democratic Mainstays voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. Demographically, the group is racially diverse with the largest share of African American voters. They are also more religious than other Democratic groups.[7]

Establishment Liberals are highly liberal voters that are loyal to the Democratic Party. They make up 13% of the public and 23% of the Democratic coalition. Establishment Liberals are more likely than other groups to seek compromise and to hold an optimistic view of society. They are the most likely group to support Joe Biden, the Democratic Party, the system of American government, and technology companies. 98% of Establishment Liberals voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. In the Democratic primary, 30% supported Joe Biden, 17% supported Elizabeth Warren, 16% supported Bernie Sanders, and 10% supported Pete Buttigieg. Demographically, they are racially diverse and one of the most educated groups.[8]

The Progressive Left are younger highly liberal voters. They make up 6% of the public and 12% of the Democratic coalition. The Progressive Left typically believe that the scope of government should "greatly expand" and that the institutions of the United States need to be "completely rebuilt" to combat racism. They are the most likely group to say that there are countries better than the United States, that the American military should be reduced, that fossil fuels should be phased out, and that the existence of billionaires is bad for society. 98% of the Progressive Left voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. In the Democratic primary, 35% supported Bernie Sanders, 28% supported Elizabeth Warren, and 15% supported Joe Biden. Demographically, 68% of the Progressive Left is made up of white voters, making it the least racially diverse group of Democratic coalition. They lean younger and less religious, and they are the most likely group to be fully vaccinated against COVID-19

Offline Sebastian Brant

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Електоральним досягненням МЛ (Трампа) було те, що вже напередодні виборів (дослідження 2021 року) йому вдалося перетягнути на свій бік та ще й мобілізувати таку хитку катеґорію, як праві популісти, які до появи МЛ не були активні- погано ходили на вибори, і не завжди голосували за репів... Бо звинувачують у поганому житті не лише 'велику державу', але й великі корпорації. Першу пов'язують з темами, другі- з репами
Перші ж дві групи й не треба було мобілізувати, вони завжди ходять і голосують за репів.
У демократів таких стабільних лише проґресисти, що є в принциповій ідеолоґічно опозиції до консерваторів ( дві перші ґрупи електорату репів). Інші ж відрізняються більшою меншою мірою амбівалентності ('і нашим і вашим'). Вони як 'хиткі штати' ... Проґресисти проголосують і не за проґресисти, аби проти репів, а непрґросисти за 'воук' Камалу могли й не проголосувати
« Останнє редагування: Грудня 17, 2024, 12:31:09 12:31 від Sebastian Brant »

Offline Sebastian Brant

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Тому проґресисту Камалі було дуже важко мобілізувати електорат демів, явка серед них була набагато нижче, ніж у 2020

Offline Sebastian Brant

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Але тоді можна зробити один цікавий висновок: демократи навмисно програми репам... Бо порахувати ці розклади було як два пальці об асфальт...
А ось чому вони піддалися репам, я не скажу

Offline majesty

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Offline Sebastian Brant

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Цитувати
Committed Conservatives are conservative voters that emphasize pro-business views, international trade, and small government. They make up 7% of the public and 15% of the Republican coalition. They hold more moderate views on immigration and race than other groups in the Republican coalition. 96% of Committed Conservatives voted for Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, but they are less likely than other Republican groups to support false claims of electoral fraud. However, they are more likely to support Republicans in Congress. They are also more likely to support the use of COVID-19 vaccines than other Republican groups. Demographically, 82% of Committed Conservatives are white, a majority are ages 50 and older, and they make up the most educated Republican group

Віддані консерватори – це консервативні виборці, які роблять наголос на поглядах бізнесу, міжнародної торгівлі та за малогий уряд. Вони складають 7% громадськості та 15% Республіканської коаліції. Вони дотримуються більш поміркованих поглядів на імміграцію та раси, ніж інші групи в республіканській коаліції. 96% відданих консерваторів проголосували за Дональда Трампа на президентських виборах 2020 року, але вони менш схильні, ніж інші республіканські групи, підтримувати неправдиві заяви про фальсифікації виборів. Однак вони, швидше за все, підтримають республіканців у Конгресі (2022). Вони також частіше підтримують використання вакцин проти COVID-19, ніж інші республіканські групи. Демографічно 82% відданих консерваторів – білі, більшість – у віці 50 років і старше, і вони складають найосвіченішу групу республіканців.
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